Patrick Everson
Fox Sports Betting Analyst
At the top of the final week, the information found that Aaron Rodgers would lastly signal with the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The 41 -year -old QB adopted the assembly with a one -year contract and $ 13.65 million Saturday.
And the bookmakers responded with a collective yawn.
In most sports activities books, the possibilities of the Steelers Super Bowl didn’t transfer a thumb. This is as a result of they had been moved months in the past, anticipating Rodgers’ signature.
“It was essentially the most stored secret in sport,” mentioned Craig Mucklow’s vice -president of Caesars sports activities on Wednesday.
Bets are additionally typically not perplexed. Mucklow serves his intuitions on Rodgers’ influence – or their lack – in a number of markets of the chance of the NFL.
In the center of the pack
At the start of February, Caesars Sports opened Pittsburgh as a +7000 lengthy shot within the chance of the Super Bowl. Immediately after the Super Bowl, and with Rodgers’ rumors already on the transfer, the Steelers have lowered to +5500. At the start of March, the quantity went to +4000.
It has been blocked there since then, sixteenth among the many 32 NFL groups.
“We wrote solely about 2% of the tickets on the Steelers,” mentioned Mucklow, observing that Steelers are a duty for the ebook, however solely due to their longer chance. “I’m a winner for purchasers. I’m not the best loser for us, although.”
Mucklow likes the Steelers, however he’s having to have his expectations, even with a Hall of Fame now on the Quarterback.
“I wish to see the Steelers do effectively. I’m a preferred group and I’m an enormous fan of Mike Tomlin,” mentioned Mucklow. “I believe they will enhance? Yes. But with Rodgers, I’m simply conscious that the daddy normally win that race.”
What are the expectations for Aaron Rodgers with the Steelers?
Long -shot mvp
Cesare waited till the signing of Rodgers earlier than including it to the MVP NFL chance market. So only some days have handed, however the motion thus far is heat on the brand new Steelers quarterback.
“We wrote a pair of tickets on Rodgers at +6000. It’s an excellent end result for the ebook,” Mucklow mentioned.
Interestingly, Cesars’s largest MVP concern has simply left Pittsburgh.
“The greatest end result for purchasers and our worst duty is Justin Fields, which Rodgers has simply changed by Pittsburgh,” mentioned Mucklow.
Last season, Fields began six video games for the Steelers. Now it’s QB1 with the New York Jets, Rodgers’ group within the final two seasons.
In one other prizes market, even a beautiful lengthy -lasting quantity shouldn’t be attracting Rodgers’ motion.
“We did not write a single ticket on Rodgers as an offensive participant of the 12 months NFL, at 150/1,” mentioned Mucklow.
If you’re feeling vigorous, then a guess from $ 100 to these chance +15000 would return a revenue of $ 15,000, if Rodgers had a chapter season and win the prize.
The Tomlin impact
There is not less than one market wherein Cesars is seeing a constructive motion on the Steelers: the victory of the season.
“There is plenty of curiosity for over 8.5 wins. It shouldn’t be essentially due to Rodgers however due to Tomlin, who has by no means had a shedding season,” mentioned Mucklow.
In truth, in 18 years on the helm, Tomlin has 15 profitable seasons and ended 8-8 thrice. With a 17-games program, 8-8 is not attainable. The Steelers went 10-7 every of the final two seasons.
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for Fox Sports and Senior Reporter for Vegasinsider.com. He is a definite journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting house. He relies in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys 110 levels golf. Follow it on X: @patricke_vegas.
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