Chris Fallica
Fox Sports Daging Expert
“Bear Bets” are actual bets that Chris “The Bear” Fallica is definitely doing.
We are going to the Final Four for college basketballAnd I got here again with some bets for the following March Madness Hoops spherical. Let’s immerse myself in my decisions.
No. 1 Houston vs. n. 1 Duke
I would be the idiot to take a step in entrance of the Duke practice right here.
If you have a look at the composite of Kenpom, Torvik and Haslam, this establishes the sport as a alternative. Duke has misplaced 3 times all through the season. Houston has misplaced solely 4 instances, with three of these losses coming. We acquired the excessive -level offense in Duke in opposition to excessive -level protection in Houston, in keeping with Kenpom.
Cougars have our bodies like Joseph Tugler and J’Wan Roberts to make life depressing inside and deny Cooper Flagg and Kon Knueppel. This additionally denies a part of the affect that Khaman Malauch has on the opposite aspect of the ground the place, recollects, Houston is the three -point capturing group n. 2 within the nation (39.7%). The Cougars fought within the first half of the Sweet 16 in opposition to Purdue, however since then they’ve been a lot better.
It ought to actually be an enchanting matchup on which numbers we predict are most consultant.
The ACC has been unfavourable this 12 months and it’s right here that Duke has collected lots of his numbers. Of course, the Blue Devils have had non -congress victories, even in opposition to Auburn and Arizona, however weren’t the massive 12 a lot better than this 12 months way more? And Houston torn it, aside from an OT loss for Texas Tech, who ought to actually play this weekend.
Houston has seven wins within the first 15 Kenpom groups (and three losses). Duke is 4-0. I additionally surprise how way more motivation has Houston after Sweet 16 final 12 months. The cougars would in all probability have crushed the Blue Devils, however Jamal Shead was injured within the ankle with the Cougars growing by six with about seven minutes left within the first half and scored solely 35 factors in 27 minutes with out him.
Of course, it’s a totally different and higher Duke group, but additionally a wholesome and full group of Houston.
Duke might win and win simply, and I will probably be denied. It would not be the primary time. But I feel the Duke model has this quantity greater than it needs to be and there may be some lack of respect for Kelvin Sampson’s group.
Choose: Houston (+5) lose lower than 5 factors or win definitively
No. 1 Florida vs. n. 1 Auburn
Call me skeptical, however I do not assume Johni Broome is 100 % shut and that is clearly an enormous drawback.
I feel his return to the Eight Eight sport has been extra beauty.
“Can you simply be one bait for a couple of minutes till the result’s educational?”
Yes, he knocked down a 3, however it appeared that he didn’t wish to be a part of using the suitable arm on that giant rebound wherein he instantly launched the outlet together with his left arm.
The Gators placed on 90 initially of this season in Auburn and Alijah Martin and Micah Randgloten haven’t even performed.
If Broome isn’t absolutely wholesome, the impact on the defensive finish will probably be huge.
The Gators will get a variety of second and third risk and that is the one motive why they’re nonetheless alive right here. I’m just a little stunned that the aspect has not gone right here (Florida continues to be -2.5) however I feel, no less than, the Gators will put their a part of factors. And it is going to be as much as the perimeter shooters of Auburn to mix them.
Choose: the Florida group whole over 81.5 factors
Chris “The Bear” Fallica He lined sports activities for nearly three a long time. While college soccer was its aim, it additionally enjoys NFL, Football, Golf, Tennis, MLB, NHL and horse races, with an “occasional” guess on these occasions. Chris lately received the inaugural about Football Invitational and ended among the many prime 10 of the Golden Nugget Football Contest race. He is a qualifier a number of instances for the NHC handicap championship. Remember: “The much less guess, the extra you lose whenever you win!” Follow it on Twitter @Chrisfallica.
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