Syria’s new ruling faction has lower ties with al-Qaeda and pledged to respect spiritual minorities. But their monitor document leaves many open questions on the way forward for democracy in post-Assad Syria.
Syria’s future stays unsure because the nation transitions from Bashar al-Assad’s regime to a brand new authorities.
The nation stays underneath strain, with the Israeli invasion of areas of the Golan Heights and bombing of Syrian army capabilities throughout the nation, in addition to Turkish-backed assaults in opposition to Kurds within the northeast.
The new transitional government led by the insurgent faction that overthrew al-Assad – Hayʼat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) – is making an attempt to consolidate its energy and unify the nation by establishing contacts with the armed teams of the south, presenting itself, on the identical time, as reasonable energy.
Do human and ladies’s rights stay underneath risk in Syria?
HTS lower its ties to al-Qaeda in 2016 and even promoted itself as a possible companion within the struggle in opposition to terrorism, Syrian political scientist Joseph Daher instructed Euronews.
“There has been a transparent evolution of the celebration because it began ruling components of Syria and establishing its personal administration,” Daher mentioned.
Yet, he says, “Syrians shouldn’t belief them. This is an authoritarian group with an Islamic fundamentalist ideology.”
“They are attempting to look as a reasonable, rational and bonafide actor. Does that imply they’re a democratic group? Not in any respect.”
The group has pledged to tolerate spiritual minorities, however “that does not imply they settle for them as equals,” Daher explains.
“It’s not about whether or not you possibly can pray or not, it is about collaborating within the decision-making course of.”
“Women’s rights are additionally a problem. HTS has not hesitated to shut down NGOs or organizations that promote gender equality.”
“Their human rights violations – such because the arrest of political opponents – have been additionally condemned within the protests a number of months in the past. But we have to be clear that the Assad regime was a barbaric and despotic dictatorship.”
“Everything will rely upon the flexibility of Syrian society to defend its rights and set up itself as a democratic bloc, creating impartial commerce unions, feminist organizations, native associations and connecting them by nationwide constructions and so forth.”
What will occur to Syrian refugees in Europe?
The overthrow of Assad’s authorities might change the destiny of 1000’s of Syrian asylum seekers in Europe.
Since the outbreak of the civil conflict in 2011, a whole lot of 1000’s of Syrians have sought safety in Europe and different neighboring international locations.
It is estimated that, based on official information, Turkey alone hosts three million Syrian asylum seekers, however the actual figures could possibly be a lot larger.
In the EU, Syrians have been the biggest group to obtain protected standing in 2023 (32%), with round 130,000 individuals.
Syrians and Venezuelans had the best recognition price following an utility, above 90%.
Last 12 months, EU member states authorized 51,250 functions from Syrian residents, which is half the 2018 peak of 103,365. This is demonstrated by Eurostat data that the quantity has been lowering ever since.
In 2023, Germany authorized the best variety of functions (16,230), adopted by France (13,605), Italy (11,315), Austria (3,645) and the Netherlands (1,660).
Within the bloc, Germany is dwelling to the biggest Syrian inhabitants more than 1.2 million people. But the top of “Assad’s tyranny”, as Berlin known as it, pushed Germany to freeze virtually 50,000 asylum requests.
France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Belgium, Norway, Denmark and Sweden have introduced comparable measures. Austria, dwelling to round 95,000 Syrian refugees, went even additional by saying it had ready deportation plans.
Syrians “shouldn’t be compelled to return”
“Syria shouldn’t be a protected nation even when al-Assad was gone,” Daher says.
“Syrian refugees ought to have the proper to remain or return if they need. But they shouldn’t be pushed,” he explains.
“The scenario within the nation may be very unhealthy: 90% of the inhabitants lives in poverty. There is very large destruction of infrastructure, a whole lot of expert labor has left the nation and transport hyperlinks are horrible.”
“The agricultural sector has suffered a whole lot of destruction and wages are very low. And even when individuals went again, we do not know whether or not their properties could be destroyed or not,” provides Dahed.
“Syria will nonetheless want worldwide and humanitarian help for its growth within the coming years. The subsequent authorities shouldn’t repeat the errors of the earlier one by selecting a growth that advantages solely a small minority as an alternative of nearly all of Syrians.”
“Now there may be nonetheless a whole lot of uncertainty, but additionally the hope of rebuilding.”