Patrick Everson
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
Forecast strains can typically be fairly informative. For those that aren’t acquainted, prediction strains are odds launched per week or extra earlier than video games.
For instance: In the NFL Week 17 odds, the prediction strains appeared final week, earlier than the Week 16 video games have been performed. In the case of the Dallas Cowboys-Philadelphia Eagles matchup, Caesars Sports made Philly a house favourite with 11.5 factors.
Then Jalen Hurts suffered a concussion within the Eagles’ Week 16 loss at Washington. Now, that line has dropped to -7.5 for the Eagles. And it may drop even additional if Hurts is definitely dominated out.
“The assumption is Hurts might be out. We’re seeing extra money for the Cowboys,” Caesars head of soccer buying and selling Joey Feazel stated Thursday.
Oddsmakers and knowledgeable bettors present their insights on Cowboys vs. Eagles, together with essentially the most notable matchup of Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings and different video games. Let’s dive into the NFL Week 17 betting nuggets.
The NFL rocks on FOX
Cowboys vs. Eagles will kick off on Sunday at 1pm ET. It’s a part of a stable FOX doubleheader, with Packers vs. Vikings following at 4:25 pm ET.
Caesars Sports opened in Minnesota at -1.5, went to -1 on Tuesday after which picked them up on Wednesday. It’s definitely attention-grabbing that the road is shifting away from a group that could be a stable 13-2 (SU) and a stable 10-4-1 in opposition to the unfold (ATS).
Green Bay is 11-4 SU/9-6 ATS.
“There was a powerful play on Packers +1.5,” Feazel stated, earlier than noting that the general public betting lots are nonetheless not fairly offered on Minnesota both, regardless of the mixed proof. “The public continues to be questioning if the Vikings are an actual powerhouse.”
As for Sunday’s kickoff on FOX, with Hurts wholesome, Caesars made the Eagles 11.5-point favorites in opposition to a Cowboys group going through one other powerful season. In the wake of Hurts’ concussion, the purpose unfold reopened Monday morning on the Eagles’ -9.5, which is kind of the center floor, overlaying whether or not or not Hurts will play.
Last Thursday, Philadelphia (12-3 SU/9-6 ATS) was -9. Then got here the information that the group dropped Ian Book from the follow squad in case Hurts did not go concussion protocol. This resulted in Caesars going straight from Eagles -9 to -7.5.
There’s one other ingredient, although, past Hurts’ standing: The Cowboys are nonetheless taking part in exhausting. In Week 16, Dallas (7-8 SU and ATS) was eradicated from playoff competition forward of Sunday evening’s dwelling sport in opposition to Tampa Bay.
But the Cowboys gave it their all and held on for a 26-24 victory as 4.5-point underdogs. Bettors take word.
“There’s a sense that this Cowboys group just isn’t going to surrender,” Feazel stated.
Is Mike McCarthy asking Jerry Jones to maintain his job?
Rookie QB showdown
The sport between the Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders was moved to the Sunday night slot this week. Both groups are vying for playoff spots, and there is even some enchantment to rookie QBs Jayden Daniels and Michael Penix Jr. going head-to-head.
But it is probably not an equal battle.
Daniels began all season for Washington (10-5 SU/9-5-1 ATS). He’s been extraordinarily spectacular, lately main a 36-33 comeback win over Philadelphia in Week 16. Penix simply made his first begin in Week 16 in opposition to a dismal New York Giants group and the Falcons (8-7 SU/7 -8 ATS ) went 34-7.
“We’re seeing much more cash than the Commanders. That’s all because of Penix in a means. It’s a rookie QB matchup, however a rookie has much more expertise,” Feazel stated.
Sharp facet of the NFL
Last week, skilled bettor Randy McKay it was on the Carolina Panthers +4.5 at dwelling in opposition to the Arizona Cardinals. The wager got here, as Carolina received outright in time beyond regulation 36-30.
McKay might be again properly in Carolina this week, main the Panthers +8.5 on the street in opposition to Tampa Bay.
“These two groups performed a month in the past and Tampa received in OT,” McKay stated, alluding to the Bucs’ 26-23 street win. “What’s modified since then is possibly a more healthy Mike Evans (for Tampa). But this Carolina group performed everybody powerful.”
The Panthers are 6-1 ATS of their final seven video games.
McKay additionally likes the Vikings selecting them in opposition to the visiting Packers.
“The Rodney Dangerfield of NFL groups is not getting respect. But I see them discovering a means in opposition to a Green Bay group that the Vikings beat earlier this season,” McKay stated.
In truth, in Week 4, Minnesota went to Green Bay and acquired a 31-29 win as a 2.5-point underdog.
What is the important thing to the Green Bay Packers’ success?
I like huge bets and I am unable to lie
There aren’t many huge bets on NFL Week 17 odds for the weekend but. But a monster play confirmed up for the Christmas Day sport between the Kansas City Chiefs and Pittsburgh Steelers.
And the bettor cashed in huge time.
A Nevada buyer of Caesars Sports wager $1.45 million on the Chiefs -145 moneyline. So, so long as the Chiefs received, whatever the margin, the bettor would earn $1 million.
KC did it with ease, outscoring Pittsburgh 29-10.
On the opposite hand, a Caesars buyer wager $66,700 on another unfold of Steelers +7.5 (-258), figuring the house underdog may not less than keep inside a landing. But Russell Wilson & Co. could not do it.
In the Ravens-Texans sport on Christmas Day, a bettor positioned $50,000 on the Ravens -178 moneyline. Baltimore acquired the job accomplished with a transparent 31-2, netting $28,089.89 in revenue for buyer Caesars (complete win $78,089.89).
Finally, an attention-grabbing futures wager arrived at Caesars, on the rising Los Angeles Rams: $25,000 on LA to win the NFC, at +1500 odds. If the Rams proceed to play and win the convention title, the bettor pockets a tidy revenue of $375,000 (complete win $400,000).
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting business. He lives in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys taking part in golf in 110-degree warmth. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas
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