Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
We’re transferring proper into this faculty soccer season.
And now that we’re in Week 9, there are some fascinating matchups lined up.
I’m significantly within the Notre Dame-Navy sport, because the Midshipmen lastly face a staff that ought to be capable to maintain their very own towards them.
But what is going to the ultimate end result be?
Read on to see how I guess on that battle, plus a pair extra of my prime bets for this weekend.
(All occasions ET)
Saturday 26 October
Washington @No. 13 Indiana (midday, BTN)
Indiana is 7-0 general (SU) and 7-0 towards the unfold (ATS). The Hoosiers are the most effective story in school soccer beneath first-year coach Curt Cignetti. And his staff seems to get to 8-0 because the soccer world turns its consideration to Bloomington.
Indiana is with out beginning quarterback Kurtis Rourke attributable to a thumb harm. Tayven Jackson will go away for Indiana after a full week of preparation. While Rourke can be missed, I consider Jackson can adequately handle the Hoosiers’ offense and achieve success on this matchup.
Their working sport is phenomenal and the Huskies’ run protection is far worse on the highway; almost two yards distinction in yards per rush when Washington is dwelling versus when it’s on the highway.
So it’s important to watch how Washington’s offense will cope with Indiana’s protection.
The Huskies’ offense is sweet however would not end drives with factors. He’s eightieth in factors for driving and that is as a result of he does silly issues on the highway. The UW performed 4 video games at dwelling and averaged about 5 penalties per contest. The Huskies have performed three video games away from dwelling and have averaged 9.5 penalties per sport in these circumstances.
Adding to the house/highway cut up is the Huskies’ third-down manufacturing.
Offensively, UW transformed 49% of its third-down makes an attempt at dwelling. When you might be away from dwelling, that share drops to 27%. Washington’s third-down protection stops the opponent 23% of the time at dwelling, however that quantity drops to 48% on the highway.
Alarming divisions for Washington on the highway towards Indiana.
I’ll take Indiana to cowl this sport.
PICK: Indiana (-6.5) wins by greater than 6.5 factors
Nebraska vs. No. 4 Ohio State on the Big Noon Kickoff
Nebraska @No.4 Ohio State (midday, FOX e FOX Sports software)
Ohio State will decide its rating on this sport towards Nebraska.
The Buckeyes are on hiatus after dropping an in depth sport to Oregon by a single level. They’re nonetheless probably the most proficient staff within the nation, and so they’ve had a full two weeks to mull over the Oregon loss. They rank fifth in offensive factors per drive and have scored a minimum of 31 factors in all of their video games. Ohio State is fourth in defensive factors per drive, and apart from the 32 allowed towards Oregon, the Buckeyes haven’t allowed greater than 14 factors in a single sport.
Nebraska began quick in Matt Rhule’s second season, however has slowed down in current weeks.
Most of this may be attributed to the truth that the Huskers’ offense is led by a real freshman quarterback. He has scored simply 21 factors in his final two video games, together with the 56-7 loss to Indiana final weekend. He is 84th in factors per drive and 114th in yards per profitable play.
After the Buckeyes protection listening to all week how they can not rush the passer and having to listen to how they have been burned by Oregon’s receivers, I might anticipate the Ohio State protection to play effectively.
Looks like 49-7, Ohio State.
PICK: Ohio State (-25.5) wins by greater than 25.5 factors
CFB Week 9: Vanderbilt vs Texas finest bets, predictions and odds
No. 12 Our Lady @No. 24 Marina (midday, ABC)
Undefeated Navy “hosts” Notre Dame at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford.
Navy is taking part in its first sport of the season towards a staff that may reply adequately, and now we have seen many groups lose this season in the identical scenario.
Georgia misplaced to Alabama. Texas misplaced to Georgia. Ohio State misplaced to Oregon.
I feel Navy will undergo the identical destiny this weekend.
Here are the SP+ staff effectivity rankings of FBS Navy’s 5 opponents: Temple is 127, Memphis 59, UAB 119, Air Force 125 and Charlotte 122.
The finest offense Navy confronted was Memphis and the Midshipmen allowed 44 factors to the Tigers. Notre Dame is ranked eighth in SP+, thirtieth in offensive factors per drive and fifth in defensive factors per drive.
Navy’s offense is enjoyable. The Midshipmen move the ball extra now, however I do not see them bodily matching Notre Dame’s defensive assault. The Fighting Irish offense can run the ball towards a Navy protection ranked 96th in success price.
I feel Notre Dame will get the higher of Navy and covers this sport.
PICK: Notre Dame (-13.5) wins by greater than 13.5 factors
Geoff Schwartz is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. He performed eight seasons within the NFL for 5 completely different groups. He began at proper sort out for the University of Oregon for 3 seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 choice his senior 12 months. Follow him on Twitter @Geoff Schwartz.
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